- Silver regains positive traction on Tuesday, albeit lacks follow-through.
- Positive oscillators on the daily chart support prospects for further gains.
- A break below $23.80 support might prompt aggressive technical selling.
Silver retests a three-week high on Tuesday, albeit struggles to capitalize on the move and remains below the $24.35-$24.40 area through the early European session.
The said hurdle might now act as a pivotal point, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for an extension of the recent rally from the $22.20 area, or the lowest level since June 23 touched earlier this month. Given that technical indicators on the daily chart have just started gaining positive traction, the XAG/USD might then aim to surpass the $24.55-$24.60 intermediate barrier and reclaim the $25.00 psychological mark. The positive move could get extended further towards the $25.25 zone, or the July monthly swing high, en route to the $26.00 round figure.
On the flip side, the $24.00 mark is likely to protect the immediate downside ahead of the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, currently pegged around the $23.85 region. A sustained break below might prompt some technical selling and drag the XAG/USD towards the $23.55 region. This is closely followed by support near the $23.40 area, representing the 200-day SMA, which if broken decisively might shift the near-term bias in favour of bearish traders and pave the way for a further downside towards testing sub-$23.00 levels.
Silver 4-hour chart
Any subsequent decline will expose the $22.20-$22.10 support zone. The latter represents the neckline of a bearish head and shoulders pattern formation on the daily chart. Hence, a convincing break below will set the stage for a meaningful decline.
XAG/USD daily chart
Technical levels to watch
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