FTSE, DAX Analysis
Recommended by Richard Snow
See what our analysts foresee in indices in Q3
FTSE Edges Tentatively Higher Ahead of Massive Central Bank Meetings, Earnings
The FTSE Index appears on track to print a sixth consecutive daily gain, putting in a near 6.5% recovery form the low earlier this month. The bullish advance has been nothing short of impressive, breaking the prior long-term downtrend with relative ease.
The remainder of this week is likely to witness a pick up in volatility as influential US and UK earnings pick up. Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft are due this week while Vodafone, Rio Tinto, Lloyds, Boeing, GlaxoSmithKline and Anglo American to name a few. Be sure to bookmark the DailyFX earnings calendar for timely updates and earnings schedules.
In addition, the index has been buoyed by a weaker pound sterling which sold off sharply after encouraging core inflation data for June which saw it beat estimates on the downside – providing some relief for UK households.
7710 is the next and most immediate level of resistance before the cluster of highs around 7800 last seen in May comes into focus on the upside. 7640 presents an early indication of potential bullish fatigue, where a further drop could bring the 50 day simple moving average into focus (blue line).
FTSE 100 Index Daily Chart
Source: TradingView, prepared by Richard Snow
DAX Consolidates Near Significant Level of Resistance
The DAX, has recovered all of the early to mid-July losses but now consolidates at the prior swing high of 16,209. The index has witnessed a notable decline in bullish momentum as recent price action has shown a tendency for sideways trading. That being said, the index is still testing the highs of the recent period of congestion, with the crucial 16,285 level of resistance on the horizon.
16,285 corresponds with the Dec 2021 and Jan 2022 highs before the massive drop throughout the rest of 2022. In the event the index continues higher from there, the June swing high of 16,427 is next in line.
The MACD favours a bullish continuation but we remain at relatively extreme levels. A drop towards 16,012 and the 50 SMA (blue line) could present an opportunity to spot potential re-entries in line with the prior uptrend or a point to observe the possibility of a deeper pullback and possibly longer-term reversal.
DAX Daily Chart
Source: TradingView, prepared by Richard Snow
Recommended by Richard Snow
See where the opportunities lie in Q3
— Written by Richard Snow for DailyFX.com
Contact and follow Richard on Twitter: @RichardSnowFX
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